In the UK, a worrying resurgence of Covid-19

The media hardly talks about it anymore, the Minister of Health, Sajid Javid, doesn’t see it “no reason to worry” for the few cases of the new Deltacron variant – it has detected the characteristics of the Omicron and Delta variants – but experts are concerned as the Covid-19 epidemic in the UK is picking up again.

In the past seven days, more than 534,000 new positive cases have been registered, an increase of 44% and hospital admissions are also starting to increase significantly (+22%), with more than 11,500 patients hospitalized. Now 14,078 patients are being treated in hospital, mainly for SARS-CoV-2 infection. However, the number of ventilator patients remains very low (281) and the number of deaths (within twenty-eight days of a positive test) has been stable at around 105 per day for the past week. According to the National Statistics Office, which is considered the most reliable source of information since the start of the pandemic, one in twenty-five people had tested positive in England in the week ending March 5. The proportion was one in thirty in Wales, one in thirteen in Northern Ireland and one in eighteen in Scotland (more than 5% of the population).

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These increases are currently mainly attributed to the new strain of the Omicron variant, BA.2, which could be up to 40% more transmissible than the original strain – but a priori, not more virulent. In the latest REACT study (conducted on 95,000 tests between February 8 and 1)er March), Imperial College London estimates that nearly half of the new positive cases, on February 21 (47.2%) were due to the BA.2 variant.

Press the public hospital

“We have a glimpse of what going back to a pre-pandemic situation looks like, but it’s not brilliant,” underlined in the Financial times John Edmunds, professor at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. “Predictions betting on a spring break may have been wrong. It seems to me that the emergence of the BA.2 variant puts us in a long-term situation of high prevalence [du virus]resulting in continued pressure on the NHS [National Health Service, le système de santé public britannique] adds this member of SAGE, the group of scientists that advises the Johnson administration.

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“The increased presence of the BA.2 subvariant and the recent increase in infections among the over-55s show that the pandemic is not over and that we can expect a strong circulation of the virus,” warned Dr. Jenny Harries, Executive Director of the British Health Security Agency, early March. But there is no question that the Johnson administration is abandoning its policy mandated at the end of February. Since February 24, positive people are no longer required to self-quarantine – wearing mandatory masks and vaccine passports has been abolished since January.

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